Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 54.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 58.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Howden
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Howden
Bjugstad
Last 10: Howden 3-7 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
4
Howden
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Howden
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
5
Howden
Bjugstad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
48.8% (467)
-0.5%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
53.4% (58)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
60.0% (5)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Howden is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Howden shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Howden
Bjugstad
Home
52.0% (304)
49.0% (261)
Away
45.9% (425)
49.8% (269)
By Period
Howden
Bjugstad
P1
48.7%
50.9%
P2
48.1%
50.5%
P3
49.0%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Brett Howden |