Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.9%). Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 52.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 51.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Howden
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
18
(33 meetings)
15
18
Howden
Bjugstad
Last 10: Howden 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
8
Howden
Bjugstad
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
4
Howden
Bjugstad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
9
6
Howden
Bjugstad
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
48.6% (6,634)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
55.2% (829)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
44.3% (614)
-1.1%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Howden
Bjugstad
Home
48.4% (1,608)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Howden
Bjugstad
P1
49.5%
49.0%
P2
48.0%
49.1%
P3
49.9%
48.4%
OT
39.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:21 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |