Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 62.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 83.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 63.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Howden
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Howden
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
55.9% (245)
-7.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
57.1% (7)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Howden is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Howden shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Howden
Bjugstad
Home
52.6% (173)
53.2% (111)
Away
41.5% (118)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Howden
Bjugstad
P1
51.6%
44.6%
P2
37.1%
61.4%
P3
55.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Brett Howden |