Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 54.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 56.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.3%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Howden
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Howden
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Howden
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
50.7% (906)
-3.4%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
48.1% (108)
-25.9%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
44.4% (239)
-18.5%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Howden is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Howden shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Howden
Bjugstad
Home
44.3% (176)
49.8% (643)
Away
45.8% (190)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Howden
Bjugstad
P1
43.1%
49.4%
P2
43.1%
50.5%
P3
48.1%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Brett Howden |