Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 61.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 77.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Howden
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Howden
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
49.4% (867)
+3.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.0% (25)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
40.7% (216)
-20.7%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Howden is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Howden shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Howden
Bjugstad
Home
55.2% (96)
46.5% (480)
Away
48.9% (131)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Howden
Bjugstad
P1
42.0%
48.7%
P2
55.8%
45.6%
P3
55.6%
49.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |