Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 60.8%
Defensive zone
Howden 72.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 78.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Howden
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Howden
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
46.7% (398)
+6.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
51.6% (31)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
62.5% (8)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Howden
Bjugstad
Home
48.8% (258)
47.3% (220)
Away
56.6% (258)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Howden
Bjugstad
P1
54.0%
46.1%
P2
53.2%
46.3%
P3
50.9%
50.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Brett Howden |