Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Carrick 49.5% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Howden 66.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 70.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Howden
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
49.2% (307)
+4.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
66.7% (6)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
48.2% (56)
-28.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Howden is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Howden shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Howden
Carrick
Home
55.2% (96)
50.3% (175)
Away
48.9% (131)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Howden
Carrick
P1
42.0%
41.0%
P2
55.8%
51.2%
P3
55.6%
55.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%