Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Carrick 53.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 57.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 63.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Howden
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Howden
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
53.8% (654)
-0.4%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
0.0% (2)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
63.9% (36)
-15.8%
On power play, Howden has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Howden
Carrick
Home
48.8% (258)
50.0% (328)
Away
56.6% (258)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Howden
Carrick
P1
54.0%
56.7%
P2
53.2%
51.1%
P3
50.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |