Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Carrick 53.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 64.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 55.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 56.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Howden
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Howden
Carrick
Last 5: Howden 2-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Howden
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
53.9% (521)
-6.6%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
57.1% (35)
-34.9%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
51.5% (229)
-25.6%
On power play, Carrick has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Howden is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Howden shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Howden
Carrick
Home
44.3% (176)
52.7% (408)
Away
45.8% (190)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Howden
Carrick
P1
43.1%
51.4%
P2
43.1%
56.6%
P3
48.1%
52.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Brett Howden |