Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Carrick 53.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 56.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 63.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Howden
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Howden
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
55.1% (439)
-4.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
66.7% (3)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
49.1% (53)
-0.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Howden
Carrick
Home
47.7% (195)
58.2% (225)
Away
52.8% (233)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Howden
Carrick
P1
51.1%
56.7%
P2
52.6%
52.8%
P3
48.8%
54.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Brett Howden |