Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Nelson 44.4% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 73.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Lowry
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Nelson
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Nelson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
43.0% (688)
+8.4%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
54.8% (42)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
44.3% (61)
+3.5%
On even strength, Lowry has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Nelson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nelson
Home
52.9% (680)
41.9% (391)
Away
48.5% (615)
45.5% (400)
By Period
Lowry
Nelson
P1
51.5%
47.1%
P2
51.5%
43.0%
P3
49.3%
40.9%
OT
60.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |