Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Nelson 50.5% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 19-6 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 91.1%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 85.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 83.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Kopitar
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
6
(25 meetings)
19
6
Kopitar
Nelson
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
1
Kopitar
Nelson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kopitar
Nelson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
9
2
Kopitar
Nelson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (691)
50.6% (871)
+4.2%
Power Play
64.9% (205)
58.1% (160)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (149)
44.0% (193)
+6.3%
On power play, Kopitar has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Kopitar shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (792).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nelson
Home
56.8% (533)
52.3% (621)
Away
55.5% (512)
48.8% (603)
By Period
Kopitar
Nelson
P1
55.7%
48.3%
P2
57.0%
53.4%
P3
56.0%
50.4%
OT
52.9%
41.2%
Final 5 min
56.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
66.0%▲
52.5%
56.2%
Nelson
62.0%▲
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |