Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.1% vs Nelson 43.7% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 89.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 79.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 82.7%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Kopitar
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kopitar
Nelson
Last 6: Kopitar 5-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Kopitar
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Nelson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Nelson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,045)
42.1% (385)
+11.7%
Power Play
56.6% (235)
47.5% (40)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (171)
38.5% (26)
+7.1%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kopitar is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Kopitar shoots left. Nelson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nelson
Home
53.1% (748)
43.8% (224)
Away
53.5% (703)
41.0% (227)
By Period
Kopitar
Nelson
P1
51.0%
48.1%
P2
52.6%
38.4%
P3
56.1%
39.2%
OT
55.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |