Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Nelson 47.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Point leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 74.5%
Defensive zone
Point 50.6%
Neutral zone
Point 62.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Point
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Point
Nelson
Last 10: Point 7-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Nelson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Nelson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
5
0
Point
Nelson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (728)
47.4% (1,020)
+3.3%
Power Play
53.3% (122)
51.5% (163)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
42.9% (63)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Point shoots right. Nelson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Point
Nelson
Home
50.7% (424)
51.0% (641)
Away
50.9% (432)
44.1% (605)
By Period
Point
Nelson
P1
45.5%
48.2%
P2
55.3%
48.1%
P3
53.0%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |