Brock Nelson vs Casey Mittelstadt
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Mittelstadt 45.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 61.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Nelson
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Mittelstadt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
45.9% (351)
+4.0%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
47.3% (74)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
22.2% (27)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Nelson
Mittelstadt
Home
49.8% (458)
47.2% (193)
Away
49.0% (506)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Nelson
Mittelstadt
P1
50.1%
49.0%
P2
45.4%
45.7%
P3
52.7%
38.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |