Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Blackwell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Blackwell 50.0% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.5%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 58.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Nelson
Blackwell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Blackwell
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
53.3% (30)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
33.3% (6)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Blackwell has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blackwell shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Blackwell is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Nelson
Blackwell
Home
48.9% (521)
57.9% (19)
Away
45.5% (516)
41.2% (17)
By Period
Nelson
Blackwell
P1
45.9%
45.5%
P2
48.0%
57.1%
P3
48.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.0%