Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Blackwell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Blackwell 49.3% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 78.7%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 74.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Nelson
Blackwell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Blackwell
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
48.4% (184)
+2.9%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
66.7% (3)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
49.6% (121)
+2.3%
On power play, Blackwell has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blackwell shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Blackwell is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Nelson
Blackwell
Home
52.5% (590)
41.7% (151)
Away
51.7% (619)
56.1% (157)
By Period
Nelson
Blackwell
P1
50.5%
46.5%
P2
54.4%
52.4%
P3
51.4%
48.5%
OT
47.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.0%