Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs McMichael 50.5% (-19.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Nelson
McMichael
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
66.7% (3)
-19.8%
On even strength, McMichael has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Nelson
McMichael
Home
48.9% (521)
100.0% (1)
Away
45.5% (516)
50.0% (2)
By Period
Nelson
McMichael
P1
45.9%
100.0%
P2
48.0%
100.0%
P3
48.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
66.7%