Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs McMichael 48.3% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
McMichael 51.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 60.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Nelson
McMichael
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
43.7% (71)
+7.6%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
52.4% (21)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
52.9% (17)
-1.0%
On even strength, Nelson has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Nelson
McMichael
Home
52.5% (590)
42.6% (54)
Away
51.7% (619)
50.9% (55)
By Period
Nelson
McMichael
P1
50.5%
42.9%
P2
54.4%
40.5%
P3
51.4%
57.1%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%