Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Strome 48.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 55.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Nelson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Strome
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Nelson
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
48.3% (894)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
50.5% (182)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
66.7% (6)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Nelson
Strome
Home
48.9% (521)
46.4% (513)
Away
45.5% (516)
51.0% (569)
By Period
Nelson
Strome
P1
45.9%
44.9%
P2
48.0%
50.8%
P3
48.0%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
77.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |