Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Strome 58.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 71.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 73.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.0%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Nelson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nelson
Strome
Last 5: Nelson 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Nelson
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
56.2% (856)
-5.5%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
66.4% (298)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
41.7% (12)
+1.7%
On power play, Strome has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Nelson
Strome
Home
52.3% (621)
55.7% (627)
Away
48.9% (618)
62.2% (539)
By Period
Nelson
Strome
P1
48.4%
61.6%
P2
53.5%
54.5%
P3
50.3%
60.4%
OT
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |