Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Strome 52.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 63.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 62.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Nelson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Nelson
Strome
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Nelson
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Nelson
Strome
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
50.6% (1,002)
-4.5%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
59.9% (299)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
57.9% (19)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Nelson
Strome
Home
48.7% (419)
51.9% (700)
Away
41.3% (368)
53.9% (620)
By Period
Nelson
Strome
P1
44.6%
51.6%
P2
47.3%
53.0%
P3
43.0%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |