Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Strome 53.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 81.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 80.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Nelson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Nelson
Strome
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Nelson
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
52.6% (968)
-1.3%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
56.9% (311)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
62.5% (8)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Nelson
Strome
Home
52.5% (590)
53.4% (653)
Away
51.7% (619)
53.9% (634)
By Period
Nelson
Strome
P1
50.5%
49.3%
P2
54.4%
54.6%
P3
51.4%
56.7%
OT
47.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:05 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |