Brock Nelson vs Frederick Gaudreau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 50.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Gaudreau 50.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 55.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 61.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Nelson
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
Gaudreau
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Gaudreau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
49.1% (733)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
60.0% (80)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
48.6% (109)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gaudreau
Home
49.8% (458)
53.0% (483)
Away
49.0% (506)
46.7% (439)
By Period
Nelson
Gaudreau
P1
50.1%
53.5%
P2
45.4%
47.5%
P3
52.7%
49.5%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |