Brock Nelson vs Frederick Gaudreau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Gaudreau 49.9% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 70.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 75.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Nelson
Gaudreau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
49.0% (408)
-2.9%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
68.0% (25)
-33.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
49.1% (114)
-18.7%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gaudreau
Home
48.7% (419)
50.8% (319)
Away
41.3% (368)
48.7% (228)
By Period
Nelson
Gaudreau
P1
44.6%
53.4%
P2
47.3%
47.4%
P3
43.0%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%