Brock Nelson vs Frederick Gaudreau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Gaudreau 49.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 73.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Nelson
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Nelson
Gaudreau
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson
Gaudreau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
4
Nelson
Gaudreau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
48.4% (770)
-1.5%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
58.7% (46)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
50.3% (199)
-25.3%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gaudreau
Home
48.9% (521)
51.1% (507)
Away
45.5% (516)
47.4% (508)
By Period
Nelson
Gaudreau
P1
45.9%
49.4%
P2
48.0%
47.4%
P3
48.0%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:49 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |