Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nelson wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.4% vs Eichel 41.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 65.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 62.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Nelson
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Nelson
Eichel
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
2
Nelson
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Eichel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Eichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (347)
41.7% (899)
+7.9%
Power Play
20.8% (24)
37.0% (54)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
25.9% (27)
+27.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
52.9% (210)
43.6% (489)
Away
42.1% (178)
38.5% (491)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
43.9%
42.6%
P2
48.1%
40.7%
P3
53.1%
38.9%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
42.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |