Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 45.5%). Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Eichel 45.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Nelson
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Nelson
Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Eichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
46.4% (730)
-0.3%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
40.3% (62)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
42.2% (116)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
48.7% (419)
44.0% (457)
Away
41.3% (368)
47.0% (451)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
44.6%
45.1%
P2
47.3%
46.5%
P3
43.0%
45.3%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
39.4%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |