Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Eichel 45.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 51.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 60.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Nelson
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
45.5% (708)
+1.4%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
51.9% (54)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
29.0% (31)
-4.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
48.9% (521)
46.1% (388)
Away
45.5% (516)
44.4% (405)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
45.9%
46.8%
P2
48.0%
43.4%
P3
48.0%
45.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |