Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (66% H2H, 32 meetings). Nelson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Eichel 45.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 50-35 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 66.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 79.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 75.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Nelson
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
35
(85 meetings)
50
35
Nelson
Eichel
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
17
19
Nelson
Eichel
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
12
5
Nelson
Eichel
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
21
11
Nelson
Eichel
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
44.7% (8,462)
+3.2%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
52.8% (925)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
38.3% (540)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
50.0% (5,845)
45.7% (4,899)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
44.5% (5,028)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
48.7%
45.4%
P2
48.5%
45.8%
P3
47.7%
44.2%
OT
45.6%
44.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |