Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 48.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Eichel 48.9% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Eichel 50.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Nelson
Eichel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
46.4% (317)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
59.6% (57)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
60.0% (5)
-31.4%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
49.8% (458)
46.2% (169)
Away
49.0% (506)
50.5% (210)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
50.1%
39.8%
P2
45.4%
49.6%
P3
52.7%
56.2%
OT
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%