Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Eichel 45.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 50.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 54.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 50.3%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Nelson
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Nelson
Eichel
Last 8: Nelson 4-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Nelson
Eichel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Eichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
45.9% (1,044)
+5.4%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
55.9% (59)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
39.7% (151)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
52.5% (590)
46.5% (606)
Away
51.7% (619)
44.8% (648)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
50.5%
47.2%
P2
54.4%
46.9%
P3
51.4%
42.7%
OT
47.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.3%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |