Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Eichel 47.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 80.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Eichel 57.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Nelson
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nelson
Eichel
Last 6: Nelson 2-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Eichel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Nelson
Eichel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Nelson
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
46.4% (1,019)
+4.3%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
52.5% (242)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
28.0% (50)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (936).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
53.6% (603)
48.0% (683)
Away
49.9% (585)
45.5% (628)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
55.4%
46.1%
P2
47.2%
47.6%
P3
52.6%
46.4%
OT
51.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |