Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.7%). Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Nelson wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Eichel 49.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 22-12 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 61.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 62.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 68.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Nelson
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
12
(34 meetings)
22
12
Nelson
Eichel
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
5
7
Nelson
Eichel
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
5
2
Nelson
Eichel
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
12
3
Nelson
Eichel
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
48.0% (304)
+0.5%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
57.0% (86)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
0.0% (2)
+57.5%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
55.0% (362)
52.1% (169)
Away
43.5% (345)
48.0% (223)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
49.3%
44.7%
P2
53.6%
52.6%
P3
46.0%
51.8%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |