Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.4% vs McCann 44.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 50.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 81.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 69.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Nelson
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Nelson
McCann
Last 5: Nelson 5-0 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
McCann
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
McCann
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (688)
38.2% (102)
+4.8%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
66.7% (3)
-11.9%
On power play, McCann has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Nelson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Nelson shoots left. McCann is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCann
Home
41.9% (391)
36.1% (61)
Away
45.5% (400)
43.2% (44)
By Period
Nelson
McCann
P1
47.1%
44.7%
P2
43.0%
41.2%
P3
40.9%
30.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |