Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Dickinson 45.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 69.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 69.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 64.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Nelson
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Nelson
Dickinson
Last 9: Nelson 5-4 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Nelson
Dickinson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Dickinson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Dickinson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
45.5% (404)
+5.2%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
25.0% (12)
+34.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
29.0% (31)
+19.3%
On power play, Nelson has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Nelson shoots left. Dickinson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dickinson
Home
53.6% (603)
50.2% (219)
Away
49.9% (585)
37.7% (228)
By Period
Nelson
Dickinson
P1
55.4%
45.0%
P2
47.2%
41.1%
P3
52.6%
45.0%
OT
51.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |