Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Dickinson 48.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 68.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 69.1%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 51.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Nelson
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nelson
Dickinson
Last 5: Nelson 0-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
2
Nelson
Dickinson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
2
Nelson
Dickinson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
1
Nelson
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
48.6% (626)
-1.7%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
44.0% (25)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
44.2% (120)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dickinson
Home
48.9% (521)
45.4% (368)
Away
45.5% (516)
49.9% (403)
By Period
Nelson
Dickinson
P1
45.9%
49.2%
P2
48.0%
46.3%
P3
48.0%
48.1%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |