Brock Nelson vs Jason Dickinson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.6%). Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Dickinson 47.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 31-26 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 78.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 57.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Nelson
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
26
(57 meetings)
31
26
Nelson
Dickinson
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
13
8
Nelson
Dickinson
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
12
Nelson
Dickinson
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
14
6
Nelson
Dickinson
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
49.0% (4,363)
-1.1%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
51.1% (141)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
40.5% (884)
+3.3%
On power play, Nelson has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,448).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dickinson
Home
50.0% (5,845)
49.3% (2,779)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
45.9% (2,609)
By Period
Nelson
Dickinson
P1
48.7%
46.9%
P2
48.5%
48.1%
P3
47.7%
47.8%
OT
45.6%
52.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |