Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Dickinson 44.5% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 56.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.8%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Nelson
Dickinson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
44.3% (255)
+5.6%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
33.3% (9)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
28.0% (25)
+0.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Dickinson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dickinson
Home
49.8% (458)
38.8% (129)
Away
49.0% (506)
45.6% (160)
By Period
Nelson
Dickinson
P1
50.1%
49.4%
P2
45.4%
45.1%
P3
52.7%
34.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.6%