Brock Nelson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Pageau 55.0% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 72.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 67.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Nelson
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
55.8% (1,000)
-5.9%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
56.6% (182)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
51.2% (170)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Nelson
Pageau
Home
49.8% (458)
57.1% (674)
Away
49.0% (506)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Nelson
Pageau
P1
50.1%
56.9%
P2
45.4%
54.5%
P3
52.7%
54.7%
OT
33.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%