Brock Nelson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Pageau 58.7% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 59.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Nelson
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
59.6% (711)
-8.3%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
64.0% (114)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
56.4% (163)
-4.5%
On even strength, Pageau has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Nelson
Pageau
Home
52.5% (590)
59.3% (506)
Away
51.7% (619)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Nelson
Pageau
P1
50.5%
56.8%
P2
54.4%
64.4%
P3
51.4%
56.9%
OT
47.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%