Brock Nelson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Pageau 56.7% (-9.9%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 75.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Nelson
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
58.8% (889)
-11.9%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
58.2% (182)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
48.6% (185)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Nelson
Pageau
Home
48.9% (521)
59.0% (595)
Away
45.5% (516)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Nelson
Pageau
P1
45.9%
58.9%
P2
48.0%
57.9%
P3
48.0%
55.6%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%