Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.4% vs Ek 45.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 59.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 65.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Nelson
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nelson
Ek
Last 6: Nelson 3-3 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Ek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Ek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (688)
41.5% (106)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
0.0% (1)
+54.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
50.0% (2)
-5.7%
On power play, Nelson has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Nelson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Nelson shoots left. Ek is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Nelson
Ek
Home
41.9% (391)
46.7% (45)
Away
45.5% (400)
37.5% (64)
By Period
Nelson
Ek
P1
47.1%
37.0%
P2
43.0%
48.9%
P3
40.9%
35.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2016 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |