Brock Nelson vs Joel Eriksson Ek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.7%). Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Ek 47.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 35-32 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 50.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Nelson
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
32
(67 meetings)
35
32
Nelson
Ek
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
13
13
Nelson
Ek
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
14
9
Nelson
Ek
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
8
10
Nelson
Ek
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
47.3% (6,674)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
55.2% (1,494)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
40.2% (1,168)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Ek is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,096).
Home / Away
Nelson
Ek
Home
50.0% (5,845)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
46.9% (4,692)
By Period
Nelson
Ek
P1
48.7%
46.6%
P2
48.5%
49.4%
P3
47.7%
46.7%
OT
45.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | OT | 03:57 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |