Brock Nelson vs Joel Eriksson Ek

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.7%). Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Ek 47.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor Nelson leads 35-32 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 53.6%
Defensive zone Nelson 50.7%
Neutral zone Nelson 51.2%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Nelson Ek
Head-to-Head Record
35 - 32 (67 meetings)
35
32
Nelson Ek
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Ek

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
13
13
Nelson Ek
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
14
9
Nelson Ek
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
8
10
Nelson Ek
18 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
47.3% (6,674)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
55.2% (1,494)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
40.2% (1,168)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +3.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Ek shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Ek is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,096).
Home / Away
Nelson
Ek
Home
50.0% (5,845)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
46.9% (4,692)
By Period
Nelson
Ek
P1
48.7%
46.6%
P2
48.5%
49.4%
P3
47.7%
46.7%
OT
45.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%
54.0%
48.3%
Ek
52.0%
46.0%
47.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 8, 2026 OT 03:57 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Mar 8, 2026 OT 00:00 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Mar 8, 2026 3 14:58 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Mar 8, 2026 3 09:29 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 8, 2026 3 00:46 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Mar 8, 2026 2 04:28 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 8, 2026 2 00:43 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 8, 2026 1 05:11 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Mar 8, 2026 1 01:20 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 8, 2026 1 00:38 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Feb 26, 2026 3 18:56 Offensive Brock Nelson
Feb 26, 2026 3 16:12 Defensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Feb 26, 2026 3 11:22 Offensive Brock Nelson
Feb 26, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Brock Nelson
Feb 26, 2026 2 15:08 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Feb 26, 2026 2 15:04 Defensive Brock Nelson
Feb 26, 2026 2 06:49 Defensive Brock Nelson
Feb 26, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Feb 26, 2026 1 12:13 Defensive Brock Nelson
Feb 26, 2026 1 09:44 Defensive Brock Nelson