Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Ek 47.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 72.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 68.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Nelson
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Nelson
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
48.0% (920)
+1.9%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
52.0% (302)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
40.3% (243)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Ek is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Home / Away
Nelson
Ek
Home
49.8% (458)
49.1% (740)
Away
49.0% (506)
46.1% (725)
By Period
Nelson
Ek
P1
50.1%
47.6%
P2
45.4%
48.9%
P3
52.7%
45.4%
OT
33.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |