Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Ek 47.4% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Ek 50.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 53.1%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Nelson
Ek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
47.6% (609)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
53.3% (152)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
34.9% (106)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Nelson
Ek
Home
52.5% (590)
49.2% (331)
Away
51.7% (619)
45.7% (536)
By Period
Nelson
Ek
P1
50.5%
38.7%
P2
54.4%
52.9%
P3
51.4%
48.8%
OT
47.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.3%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%