Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Ek 49.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 63.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.1%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Nelson
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Nelson
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Ek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Nelson
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
48.4% (926)
-1.5%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
55.4% (327)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
41.4% (133)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Ek is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (817).
Home / Away
Nelson
Ek
Home
48.9% (521)
50.1% (689)
Away
45.5% (516)
48.6% (697)
By Period
Nelson
Ek
P1
45.9%
49.5%
P2
48.0%
49.3%
P3
48.0%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
53.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |