Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Ek 46.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 65.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 62.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Nelson
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Ek
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Ek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
2
Nelson
Ek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
47.1% (482)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
50.0% (14)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
29.5% (44)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Nelson shoots left. Ek is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Nelson
Ek
Home
51.0% (641)
48.4% (254)
Away
44.1% (605)
43.4% (286)
By Period
Nelson
Ek
P1
48.2%
44.8%
P2
48.1%
46.9%
P3
46.9%
45.3%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |