Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Ek 46.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 91.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 67.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 76.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Nelson
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
Ek
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Ek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
47.4% (647)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
70.0% (10)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
38.4% (138)
+9.9%
On power play, Ek has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Nelson shoots left. Ek is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Nelson
Ek
Home
53.6% (603)
45.8% (432)
Away
49.9% (585)
46.6% (363)
By Period
Nelson
Ek
P1
55.4%
47.0%
P2
47.2%
46.2%
P3
52.6%
45.1%
OT
51.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |