Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Dach 35.5% (+16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.9%
Defensive zone
Dach 52.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Nelson
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
2
Nelson
Dach
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Dach
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
32.5% (510)
+17.4%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
36.8% (19)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
37.5% (16)
-8.9%
On even strength, Nelson has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dach
Home
49.8% (458)
33.5% (278)
Away
49.0% (506)
32.2% (267)
By Period
Nelson
Dach
P1
50.1%
35.3%
P2
45.4%
30.6%
P3
52.7%
33.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.4%
Dach
44.0%▬
43.5%
32.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |